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農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部:豬肉供應(yīng)形勢越來越好,不會(huì)出現(xiàn)價(jià)格大幅上漲情況

2020-10-22 16:50:41 來源:農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量:34507 評論

導(dǎo)讀:明年元旦春節(jié)期間,豬肉的供應(yīng)量同比會(huì)增長30%左右,價(jià)格總體上將低于上年的同期水平,不會(huì)再出現(xiàn)價(jià)格大幅上漲的情況,能夠保障過年期間老百姓碗里不缺肉。

  【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場行情】 10月21日,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部就2020年前三季度農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢舉行了新聞發(fā)布會(huì)。關(guān)于當(dāng)前生豬生產(chǎn)情況和豬肉價(jià)格方面,畜牧獸醫(yī)局副局長陳光華表示,在市場拉動(dòng)和政策推動(dòng)下,今年以來,全國生豬生產(chǎn)持續(xù)恢復(fù),養(yǎng)豬場戶補(bǔ)欄增養(yǎng)的積極性很高。根據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部監(jiān)測,到今年9月份能繁母豬存欄已經(jīng)連續(xù)12個(gè)月增長,生豬存欄也連續(xù)8個(gè)月增長,特別是今年的6月份和7月份,能繁母豬和生豬存欄先后實(shí)現(xiàn)同比增長,這是生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)的兩個(gè)重要的時(shí)間拐點(diǎn)。8月份、9月份增幅進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大,9月底能繁母豬同比增長28%,生豬存欄同比增長20.7%,照這個(gè)趨勢,我們有信心實(shí)現(xiàn)全年生豬產(chǎn)能基本恢復(fù)到接近常年水平的目標(biāo)。
 

  今年以來,隨著生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù),豬肉市場總體呈現(xiàn)出供應(yīng)改善、價(jià)格振蕩回落的態(tài)勢。從生產(chǎn)方面來看,自從今年3月份以來,生豬出欄連續(xù)7個(gè)月環(huán)比增長,這說明前期新增產(chǎn)能正在陸續(xù)釋放,產(chǎn)能正在變成產(chǎn)量。同時(shí),進(jìn)口豬肉也在增加,1-9月份進(jìn)口量是328.6萬噸,同比增長132.2%,從市場價(jià)格來看,也印證了這一趨勢。2月份之后,豬肉市場價(jià)格總體呈現(xiàn)振蕩回落趨勢,特別是9月份以來,豬肉價(jià)格已經(jīng)連續(xù)7周下降,沒有出現(xiàn)往年中秋國慶期間豬肉價(jià)格普遍上漲的情況。上周全國集貿(mào)市場豬肉價(jià)格已經(jīng)回落到每公斤50.56元,比2月中旬高的價(jià)格降了9塊多。今后一個(gè)時(shí)期,豬肉供應(yīng)形勢還會(huì)越來越好。近期,我們組織專家分析和測算,綜合考慮生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)情況、豬肉進(jìn)口、消費(fèi)需求變化等因素,明年元旦春節(jié)期間,豬肉的供應(yīng)量同比會(huì)增長30%左右,價(jià)格總體上將低于上年的同期水平,不會(huì)再出現(xiàn)價(jià)格大幅上漲的情況,能夠保障過年期間老百姓碗里不缺肉。
 
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