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11月拖拉機(jī)數(shù)據(jù)出爐，1-11月產(chǎn)量45萬(wàn)多臺(tái)，預(yù)計(jì)全年50萬(wàn)臺(tái)

2024-12-21 09:39:53 來(lái)源：總站信息處 作者：劉振營(yíng) 閱讀量：759 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀：2024年11月拖拉機(jī)總產(chǎn)量3萬(wàn)1897臺(tái)，與2023年11月產(chǎn)量4萬(wàn)0588臺(tái)相比，下降21.4%。

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場(chǎng)行情】日前，國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局發(fā)布2024年11月份規(guī)模以上拖拉機(jī)生產(chǎn)企業(yè)大型、中型、小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)。
 
　　注：根據(jù)國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，規(guī)模以上是指年主營(yíng)業(yè)務(wù)收入2000萬(wàn)元以上；拖拉機(jī)是指20馬力及以上輪式和履帶式拖拉機(jī)；小型拖拉機(jī)：20-25馬力；中型拖拉機(jī)：25-100馬力；大型拖拉機(jī)：100馬力及以上。
 
　　一、11月份拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
 
　　2024年11月拖拉機(jī)總產(chǎn)量3萬(wàn)1897臺(tái)，與2023年11月產(chǎn)量4萬(wàn)0588臺(tái)相比，下降21.4%。
 
2024年11月拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
 
　　其中，11月份大型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量5605臺(tái)，中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量15292臺(tái)，小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量1.1萬(wàn)臺(tái)。
 
　　1-11月拖拉機(jī)累計(jì)產(chǎn)量：大型拖拉機(jī)104813臺(tái)，中型拖拉機(jī)219503臺(tái)，小型拖拉機(jī)12.9萬(wàn)臺(tái)。前9個(gè)月累計(jì)生產(chǎn)拖拉機(jī)45萬(wàn)3316臺(tái)，比2023年的49萬(wàn)2561臺(tái)相比下降8.0%。
 
　　1、大型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量
 
　　根據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)顯示，2024年11月大型拖拉機(jī)累計(jì)產(chǎn)量5605臺(tái)，比去年同期增長(zhǎng)-27.9%。9月拖同比由增轉(zhuǎn)降后，11月降幅陡然加大。
 
2024年1-11月大型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
 
　　1-11月大型拖拉機(jī)累計(jì)產(chǎn)量104813臺(tái)，同比增長(zhǎng)2.7%。今年以來(lái)，累計(jì)產(chǎn)量一直保持較高增長(zhǎng)，從8月開(kāi)始增幅逐月有所下降，11月只增長(zhǎng)2.7%。
 
　　2、中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量
 
　　根據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)顯示，2024年11月中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量15292臺(tái)，比去年同期增長(zhǎng)-30.1%，5月和6月兩個(gè)月小幅轉(zhuǎn)增后，7月轉(zhuǎn)為較大幅度下降，8月和9月降幅均有所加大，11月降幅陡然加大。
 
2024年1-11月中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
 
　　1-11月累計(jì)產(chǎn)量219503臺(tái)，同比增長(zhǎng)-13.8%。5月和6月小幅增長(zhǎng)，但從7月開(kāi)始轉(zhuǎn)為較大幅度下降，且降幅逐月增大。
 
　　3、小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量
 
　　根據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)顯示，2024年11月小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量1.1萬(wàn)臺(tái)，8月降為萬(wàn)臺(tái)以下且降幅創(chuàng)新高，10月由降轉(zhuǎn)增，11月又重回下降。
 
2024年1-11月小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
 
　　小型拖拉機(jī)1-11月累計(jì)產(chǎn)量12.9萬(wàn)臺(tái)，同比增長(zhǎng)-15.7%，今年上半年降幅逐月加大，下半年一直在低位。
 
　　二、2024年拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量預(yù)計(jì)50萬(wàn)臺(tái)
 
　　2024年1-11月拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)已經(jīng)出來(lái)了，1-11月拖拉機(jī)累計(jì)產(chǎn)量45.33萬(wàn)臺(tái)，同比去年下降近3.9萬(wàn)臺(tái)，說(shuō)明市場(chǎng)形勢(shì)比較嚴(yán)峻，特別是11月大中拖降幅都陡然增加，使得拖拉機(jī)累計(jì)產(chǎn)量降幅比較大。
 
　　盡管拖拉機(jī)仍處在發(fā)展階段，遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)沒(méi)有達(dá)到飽和的程度，相對(duì)需求缺口比較大，特別是有些省丘陵山區(qū)比較多，以及南方水田省區(qū)，拖拉機(jī)市場(chǎng)還沒(méi)有完全啟動(dòng)，但由于國(guó)際形勢(shì)的復(fù)雜性以及經(jīng)濟(jì)大環(huán)境下，中小企業(yè)運(yùn)營(yíng)不確定性增加，導(dǎo)致一方面小型拖拉機(jī)市場(chǎng)持續(xù)低迷，另一方面可能是小型拖拉機(jī)規(guī)模都比較小，有些小規(guī)模企業(yè)的產(chǎn)量沒(méi)能進(jìn)入國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，因此小型拖拉機(jī)下降幅度可能會(huì)超預(yù)期。
 
　　綜合以上因素，基本維持上月的預(yù)測(cè)：2024年拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量可能在50萬(wàn)臺(tái)左右，比2023年產(chǎn)量下降8%以上，但產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)將會(huì)有較大變化，大型拖拉機(jī)占比將明顯提升，小型拖拉機(jī)占比繼續(xù)下降。其中大型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量仍維持預(yù)計(jì)11萬(wàn)多臺(tái)，比上年略有增長(zhǎng)；中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量24萬(wàn)臺(tái)，預(yù)計(jì)比上年下降10%以上；小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量14萬(wàn)多臺(tái)，下降約15%。

下一篇：2024年1-11月：我國(guó)飼料生產(chǎn)專(zhuān)用設(shè)備產(chǎn)量同比下降28.4%

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