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CAMDA發(fā)布6月份中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)商務(wù)報(bào)告

2020-07-13 09:29:02 來源:中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì) 閱讀量:23994 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀:6月份AMI指數(shù)為42.5%,比上月下降6.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升5.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn)

  【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場(chǎng)行情】 6月份AMI指數(shù)為42.5%,比上月下降6.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升5.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn)
 
  中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2020年6月份中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為42.5%,環(huán)比下降6.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn),同比提升5.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看,6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)外全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì),其中效益指數(shù)降幅高,為15.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看,6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除效益指數(shù)、農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)、庫存指數(shù)略有下降外全部呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì),其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)增幅高,為10.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前,6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)全部位于不景氣區(qū)間。受疫情影響,2020年1-3月AMI停報(bào),4月恢復(fù)上報(bào),商務(wù)報(bào)告自本月起恢復(fù)發(fā)布。
 
  特約分析師張華光認(rèn)為:6月份,AMI環(huán)比下降,意味著上半年農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)由旺季進(jìn)入淡季;同比上升,說明今年農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)回暖跡象明顯。
 
  上半年,農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)回暖。6個(gè)一、二級(jí)指數(shù)均有所體現(xiàn)。從一級(jí)指數(shù)4月、5月、6月同比變化看,4月、5月均高于去年同期。6月份,進(jìn)入淡季,效益、補(bǔ)貼和庫存指數(shù)同比出現(xiàn)小幅下降,但其它一級(jí)指數(shù)依然堅(jiān)挺,繼續(xù)保持增長勢(shì)頭。6個(gè)二級(jí)指數(shù)表現(xiàn)更加明顯,三個(gè)月中,除田間管理機(jī)械5月份出現(xiàn)下滑,其它月份均出現(xiàn)不同程度的增長。
 
  農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)回暖是多重因素共同作用的結(jié)果。
 
  第一,政策驅(qū)動(dòng)。今年上半年農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼進(jìn)度與去年同期比,絕大多數(shù)區(qū)域和品類增幅巨大,有的高達(dá)幾十倍。據(jù)此推算,各區(qū)域的補(bǔ)貼進(jìn)度較之去年至少提前2-3個(gè)月,這與農(nóng)機(jī)化司加大推進(jìn)補(bǔ)貼進(jìn)度,全力保春播、保夏收的政策密不可分,對(duì)輪式谷物聯(lián)合收獲機(jī)市場(chǎng)作用較大。
 
  第二,保護(hù)性耕作政策的拉動(dòng)。保護(hù)性耕作政策推動(dòng)了大型農(nóng)機(jī)具、免耕播種機(jī)市場(chǎng)的攀升,進(jìn)而帶動(dòng)大中拖市場(chǎng)的快速增長。
 
  第三,更新驅(qū)動(dòng)市場(chǎng)增長。今年大中拖、播種和插秧機(jī)等市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入更新高峰期,其更新特點(diǎn)主要表現(xiàn)為需求結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,大型化趨勢(shì)增強(qiáng),對(duì)上半年市場(chǎng)增長起到重要作用。
 
  第四,低谷效應(yīng)??v觀近兩年市場(chǎng)走勢(shì),不難發(fā)現(xiàn)耕種收機(jī)械多個(gè)品類市場(chǎng)經(jīng)歷了2018年、2019年的“兩連跌”,市場(chǎng)處于低谷期,上半年市場(chǎng)增長正是基于低谷期的增長。
 
  第五,疫情的影響。這種影響表現(xiàn)在兩個(gè)方面,一方面對(duì)市場(chǎng)需求的影響,其一,因?qū)ξ锪?、生產(chǎn)組織等系統(tǒng)造成較大沖擊,一是導(dǎo)致部分市場(chǎng)下滑,二是限制了部分市場(chǎng)的增幅。其二,對(duì)一些市場(chǎng)又產(chǎn)生了一定的促進(jìn)作用。具體表現(xiàn)為:一是部分區(qū)域的跨區(qū)作業(yè)服務(wù)因疫情原因受到較大制約,使原來那些依賴服務(wù)作業(yè)的用戶不得已購機(jī),助推了一些市場(chǎng)的增長;二是導(dǎo)致部分農(nóng)民工返鄉(xiāng)創(chuàng)業(yè),投資農(nóng)機(jī)成為一些農(nóng)民工的選擇,提升了市場(chǎng)需求。另一方面,加速了企業(yè)的分化。一些小企業(yè)受制于疫情下的配件供應(yīng),生產(chǎn)組織困難,正常生產(chǎn)難以為繼,經(jīng)營愈發(fā)艱難。與之相反,一些大企業(yè)抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的能力較強(qiáng),借此機(jī)會(huì)搶占了更多的市場(chǎng)份額,經(jīng)營業(yè)績(jī)不降反增。
 
  已經(jīng)開始的7月份,農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)正處于淡季之中。但基于上半年農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)向好的特點(diǎn)以及支撐市場(chǎng)的利好條件,加之6月份經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)的良好表現(xiàn)。我們判斷市場(chǎng)形勢(shì)不會(huì)太差,或?qū)⒊尸F(xiàn)以下幾個(gè)特點(diǎn):其一,AMI在6月份進(jìn)入低谷后,7月份環(huán)比、同比出現(xiàn)增長是大概率的事。其二,6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù),除補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)變數(shù)較大外,其它5個(gè)指數(shù)環(huán)比、同比或出現(xiàn)不同程度的增長。其三,6個(gè)二級(jí)指數(shù),拖拉機(jī)、收獲機(jī)、田間管理機(jī)械指數(shù)環(huán)比或增長,多數(shù)指數(shù)同比會(huì)攀升。
 
  一、一級(jí)指數(shù)運(yùn)行情況
 
  (一)銷售能力指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,銷售能力指數(shù)為43.2%,比上月下降9.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升9.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。從二季度的表現(xiàn)看,同比曲線均在上方,折射出市場(chǎng)回暖跡象。
 
(二)效益指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,效益指數(shù)為35.3%,比上月下降15.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期下降0.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。在經(jīng)歷了4月、5月連續(xù)兩個(gè)月的景氣之后,市場(chǎng)環(huán)比出現(xiàn)較大幅度下滑,同比小幅下跌,市場(chǎng)淡季特征較為明顯。
 
(三)農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)為45.6%,比上月下降6.5個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期下降3.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
(四)庫存指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,庫存指數(shù)為44.1%,比上月下降5.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期下降0.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。淡季到來,經(jīng)銷商開始?jí)嚎s庫存,直接影響庫存指數(shù)的景氣度。
 
(五)人氣指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,人氣指數(shù)為35.9%,比上月下降13.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升0.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
(六)經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)為45.7%,比上月提升8.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升10.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
二、二級(jí)指數(shù)運(yùn)行情況
 
  (一)拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)為36.3%,比上月下降5.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升3.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。過去的三個(gè)月,拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)環(huán)比雖然經(jīng)歷兩連跌,但同比出現(xiàn)不同程度的增長,說明今年拖拉機(jī)市場(chǎng)好于去年,這與我們監(jiān)控的大中拖市場(chǎng)走勢(shì)高度吻合。
 
  上半年,大中拖市場(chǎng)出現(xiàn)較大幅度增長。其中,中型拖拉機(jī)市場(chǎng)小幅增長,大型拖拉機(jī)大幅度攀升。市場(chǎng)監(jiān)控顯示,截至6月底,我國累計(jì)銷售各種大中拖18.09萬臺(tái),同比增長12.92%。其中,銷售25~100馬力的中拖14.42萬臺(tái),100馬力以上的大拖3.67萬臺(tái),同比分別增長10.5%和23.57%,占比分別為76.66%和23.34%。
 
  大中拖市場(chǎng)增長的原因主要有以下幾個(gè)方面。
 
  第一,保護(hù)性耕作政策的拉動(dòng)。保護(hù)性耕作政策推動(dòng)了大型農(nóng)機(jī)具市場(chǎng)的攀升,進(jìn)而帶動(dòng)大型拖拉機(jī)市場(chǎng)的快速增長;第二,市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入更新高峰期。市場(chǎng)經(jīng)過2017/2018年連續(xù)兩年的大幅度下滑,2019年進(jìn)入增長通道,2020年進(jìn)入更新高峰期。這種更新主要表現(xiàn)為需求結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,大型化趨勢(shì)增強(qiáng);第三,區(qū)域市場(chǎng)的拉動(dòng),黑龍江、新疆、山東等傳統(tǒng)主流市場(chǎng)在沉寂多年后,今年開始啟動(dòng);甘肅、江西等新興市場(chǎng)對(duì)市場(chǎng)增長也起到了重要作用;第四,活躍的二手拖拉機(jī)市場(chǎng)和報(bào)廢政策推動(dòng)下的拖拉機(jī)報(bào)廢拆解業(yè)務(wù)的興起,推動(dòng)了大中拖市場(chǎng)的增長;第五,激烈的市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng),尤其是愈演愈烈的價(jià)格戰(zhàn),拉低了拖拉機(jī)價(jià)格。二三線品牌的低價(jià)傾銷,迎合了低端客戶的需求,對(duì)市場(chǎng)增長起到了推波助瀾的作用。
 
(二)耕整地機(jī)械指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,耕整地機(jī)械指數(shù)為38.3%,比上月下降3.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升8.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。環(huán)比下降,反映了市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入淡季;但過去三個(gè)月,耕整地市場(chǎng)同比均出現(xiàn)不同程度增長,意味著市場(chǎng)回暖。
 
  市場(chǎng)監(jiān)控顯示,上半年,耕整地機(jī)械市場(chǎng)在補(bǔ)貼政策和春耕等各種因素助推下,出現(xiàn)小幅增長。截至6月底,累計(jì)銷售各種耕整地機(jī)械34.95萬臺(tái),同比增長6.3%。
 
  增長原因:第一,補(bǔ)貼政策拉動(dòng)。近年,國家和地方政府大力推進(jìn)保護(hù)性耕作,加大深松、深翻補(bǔ)貼力度,拉動(dòng)了大型耕整地機(jī)具市場(chǎng)的增長;第二,市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入恢復(fù)性增長期。從近年市場(chǎng)走勢(shì)看,在經(jīng)歷了2014-2018年連續(xù)五年的下滑后,市場(chǎng)盤整期結(jié)束,完成了由小型機(jī)具到大中型機(jī)具轉(zhuǎn)變,2019年開始進(jìn)入增長通道。
 

 
  (三)種植機(jī)械指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,種植機(jī)械指數(shù)為29.9%,比上月下降17.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升0.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。 該指數(shù)環(huán)比雖然經(jīng)歷“兩連跌”,但同比出現(xiàn)不同程度增長。說明市場(chǎng)好于去年。市場(chǎng)監(jiān)控顯示,上半年,播種機(jī)市場(chǎng)小幅增長。市場(chǎng)調(diào)查顯示,截至6月底,累計(jì)銷售各種播種機(jī)10.55萬臺(tái),同比增長8.74%。插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)在經(jīng)歷了2018、2019年連續(xù)兩年下滑后,今年上半年逆勢(shì)增長。市場(chǎng)調(diào)查顯示,截至6月底,累計(jì)銷售各種插秧機(jī)6.82萬臺(tái),同比增長8.97%。不少市場(chǎng)一度出現(xiàn)“供不應(yīng)求”情況。
 
(四)田間管理機(jī)械指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,田間管理機(jī)械指數(shù)為60.9%,比上月提升15.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升12.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于景氣區(qū)間。
 
(五)收獲機(jī)械指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,收獲機(jī)械指數(shù)為46.3%,比上月下降13.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升13.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。本月環(huán)比雖然因麥?zhǔn)战Y(jié)束原因出現(xiàn)幅度下滑,但并不影響我們對(duì)今年市場(chǎng)向好的判斷,二季度的三個(gè)月,同比均出現(xiàn)兩位數(shù)增長,市場(chǎng)回暖跡象信號(hào)強(qiáng)烈。
 
  市場(chǎng)監(jiān)控顯示,上半年,聯(lián)合收獲機(jī)市場(chǎng)走勢(shì)平穩(wěn)。因季節(jié)因素,除輪式谷物聯(lián)合收獲機(jī)市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入旺季,其它收獲機(jī)市場(chǎng)多以備貨為主,市場(chǎng)波瀾不驚。截至6月底,累計(jì)銷售各種聯(lián)合收獲機(jī)7.07萬臺(tái),同比增長2.28%。從月度走勢(shì)看,4月、5月、6月月度環(huán)比逐月下降,分別為176.08%、19.08%和3.88%。從收獲機(jī)市場(chǎng)的細(xì)分市場(chǎng)看,履帶式谷物聯(lián)合收獲機(jī)同比出現(xiàn)較大幅度下滑,其它均出現(xiàn)不同程度的增長。
 
三、三級(jí)指數(shù)運(yùn)行情況
 
  (一)大型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,大型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)為37.7%,比上月下降5.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升4.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。二季度,大型拖拉機(jī)市場(chǎng)同比出現(xiàn)不同程度的增長,主要得益于保護(hù)性耕作政策推動(dòng)了大型農(nóng)機(jī)具市場(chǎng)的攀升,進(jìn)而帶動(dòng)大型拖拉機(jī)市場(chǎng)的快速增長。
 
(二)中型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,中型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)為34.3%,比上月下降9.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期下降1.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
(三)小型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,小型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)為37.4%,比上月提升1.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升8.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
(四)深松機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,深松機(jī)指數(shù)為31.1%,比上月下降21.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升3.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 

 
  旋耕機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,旋耕機(jī)指數(shù)為37.1%,比上月下降2.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升6.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
  免耕播種機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,免耕播種機(jī)指數(shù)為38.6%,比上月下降4.5個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。環(huán)比下降主要因?yàn)榇翰ソY(jié)束,市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入淡季。
 
  從播種機(jī)發(fā)展趨勢(shì)看,近年,以吉林康達(dá)、德邦大為為代表的重型免耕播種機(jī)市場(chǎng)在經(jīng)歷了10余年的快速發(fā)展,尤其是近兩年進(jìn)入高峰期后,市場(chǎng)已顯現(xiàn)拐點(diǎn)。第一,東北需求重型免耕播種機(jī)20萬臺(tái),現(xiàn)在市場(chǎng)保有量已經(jīng)超過11萬臺(tái),需求量下降成為必然;第二,從發(fā)展方向看,免耕播種機(jī)正由重型免耕播種機(jī)向輕型免耕播種機(jī)發(fā)展,但他們認(rèn)為這種發(fā)展應(yīng)該遏制,因?yàn)檩p型免耕播種機(jī)有假免耕之嫌,尤其拖拉機(jī)出現(xiàn)大馬拉小車之后,這種情況更加突出。第三,從技術(shù)層面看,大型化、智能化正成為發(fā)展趨勢(shì)。第四,目前我國的重型免耕播種機(jī)在性能上已經(jīng)超越歐美,但材料、智能化和技術(shù)上與國外產(chǎn)品尚有較大差距。如國外先進(jìn)的重型播種機(jī)效率高達(dá)20公里/小時(shí),而我們現(xiàn)在只能達(dá)到7-8公里/小時(shí)。
 
  插秧機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,插秧機(jī)指數(shù)為27.7%,比上月下降18.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期下降3.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。北方插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)結(jié)束,導(dǎo)致環(huán)比大幅度下滑;同比小幅滑坡,意味南方市場(chǎng)尚存在支撐力量。從二季度市場(chǎng)表現(xiàn)看,4月、5月市場(chǎng)同比增勢(shì)強(qiáng)勁,凸顯回暖跡象。
 
  市場(chǎng)監(jiān)控顯示,插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)在經(jīng)歷了2018/2019年連續(xù)兩年下滑后,今年上半年逆勢(shì)增長。截至6月底,累計(jì)銷售各種插秧機(jī)6.82萬臺(tái),同比增長8.97%。不少市場(chǎng)一度出現(xiàn)“供不應(yīng)求”情況。
 
  增長原因分析。第一,疫情改變市場(chǎng)的需求,拉動(dòng)了插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)的增長。突出表現(xiàn)在以下兩個(gè)方面:一方面,疫情限制了勞動(dòng)力流動(dòng),導(dǎo)致市場(chǎng)勞動(dòng)力不足,人工成本大幅提升,引發(fā)不少水稻種植戶購買插秧機(jī);另一方面,疫情制約了插秧機(jī)專業(yè)服務(wù)組織的跨區(qū)作業(yè),往年那些依賴插秧機(jī)服務(wù)的水稻種植戶只好自行購機(jī),二者共同作用,成為推動(dòng)插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)增長的新動(dòng)能。
 
  第二,補(bǔ)貼政策驅(qū)動(dòng)。上半年,一些水稻種植主產(chǎn)區(qū)對(duì)插秧機(jī)實(shí)行疊加補(bǔ)貼,有些區(qū)域還進(jìn)行了農(nóng)機(jī)專項(xiàng)補(bǔ)貼。補(bǔ)貼力度的加大,刺激市場(chǎng)需求,拉升了一些區(qū)域市場(chǎng)。
 
  第三,水稻種植面積擴(kuò)容,剛性需求增加。2月28日,國家發(fā)展和改革委員會(huì)發(fā)布2020年稻谷低收購價(jià)通知,明確繼續(xù)在主產(chǎn)區(qū)實(shí)行低收購價(jià)政策。一些種植戶判斷,有政策托底,稻谷價(jià)格有望走出低谷,對(duì)種植面積擴(kuò)容起到較大促進(jìn)作用,如今年黑龍江省水稻種植面積擴(kuò)容,直接推動(dòng)插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)剛性需求增加。
 
  第四,2018年、2019年插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)連續(xù)兩年滑坡,2018年插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)同比大幅度下跌21.17%,在此基礎(chǔ)上,2019年再度下跌11.5%,市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入低谷。市場(chǎng)蓄勢(shì),能量釋放,成為今年插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)不可忽略的增長因素。
 
  第五,剛性需求與更新需求雙力拉動(dòng)。從更新需求看,今年插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入更新高峰期,尤其是更新需求特點(diǎn)多為改善型需求,即高速乘坐式插秧機(jī)取代手扶成為拉動(dòng)市場(chǎng)增長的重要力量。
 
  第六,從深層次的剛性需求分析,在水稻耕種收三個(gè)環(huán)節(jié)中,水稻播種機(jī)械化水平偏低成為制約其全程機(jī)械化的短板。統(tǒng)計(jì)顯示,2018年水稻耕種收綜合機(jī)械化水平高達(dá)81.64%,機(jī)耕和機(jī)收水平分別達(dá)到97.35%和91.49%,但水稻的機(jī)播水平僅維系在50.84%的低水準(zhǔn),這就決定了水稻插秧機(jī)市場(chǎng)的剛性需求依然強(qiáng)勁。
 
  遙控飛行噴霧機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,遙控飛行噴霧機(jī)指數(shù)為46.9%,比上月下降3.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
  )履帶式谷物聯(lián)合收割機(jī)(全喂入)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,履帶式谷物聯(lián)合收割機(jī)(全喂入)指數(shù)為38.9%,比上月下降20.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于不景氣區(qū)間。市場(chǎng)下滑主要是因?yàn)榻?jīng)過多年的高位運(yùn)行,出現(xiàn)飽和跡象,剛性需求下降;其次,市場(chǎng)未啟動(dòng),出貨高峰期主要集中在下半年;后,今年全年,市場(chǎng)降幅或?qū)⑹照?br /> 

 
  )自走式玉米收獲機(jī)指數(shù)
 
  2020年6月,自走式玉米收獲機(jī)指數(shù)為56.1%,比上月提升12.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升27.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn),位于景氣區(qū)間。
 
  今年市場(chǎng)有望走出低谷,出現(xiàn)小幅增長。由于今年玉米收獲機(jī)市場(chǎng)還未啟動(dòng),很多經(jīng)銷商還處在備貨階段。據(jù)經(jīng)銷商反映,今年玉米價(jià)格有上漲的趨勢(shì)。另外,從黑龍江省農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村廳獲悉,今年黑龍江省適度增加玉米種植面積,玉米補(bǔ)貼標(biāo)準(zhǔn)適當(dāng)提高,因此,判斷今年黑龍江省玉米收獲機(jī)市場(chǎng)應(yīng)該有所增長。
 
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