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2019年1月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)45.6%

2019-02-07 10:25:00 來(lái)源：中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì) 閱讀量：21445 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀：中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2019年1月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為45.6%，環(huán)比上升8.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比提升13.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。

　　【中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場(chǎng)行情】中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2019年1月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為45.6%，環(huán)比上升8.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比提升13.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中銷售能力指數(shù)、效益指數(shù)和庫(kù)存指數(shù)呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其余均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì)，其中農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)增幅高，為8.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中全部呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì)，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)增幅高，為13.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。本月起，為保證指數(shù)運(yùn)行的平穩(wěn)性，指數(shù)算法有所調(diào)整，2018年全年景氣度數(shù)值均按新算法所得。
　　特約分析師張華光認(rèn)為：1月份AMI環(huán)比、同比均有所抬頭，雙雙上揚(yáng)，表明1月份的農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)略有企穩(wěn)的跡象，但仍處于榮枯線下方。6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中，雖銷售能力指數(shù)、效益指數(shù)和庫(kù)存指數(shù)環(huán)比略有下降，但同比全部有所提升，尤其是經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)的上漲，說(shuō)明經(jīng)理人對(duì)已經(jīng)開始的2月份農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)的感性判斷和期待，國(guó)發(fā)〔2018〕42號(hào)文件的發(fā)布和即將發(fā)布的中央一號(hào)文件也進(jìn)一步增強(qiáng)了經(jīng)理人信心。6個(gè)二級(jí)指數(shù)和9個(gè)三級(jí)指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間，說(shuō)明各品類及細(xì)分市場(chǎng)的銷售情況并不樂(lè)觀。從歷史數(shù)據(jù)看，2月份仍處于傳統(tǒng)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)淡季，加之春節(jié)期間的節(jié)日效應(yīng)，我們判斷2月份AMI不會(huì)有較大起色，但春耕臨近，各大廠家為了積極備貨，可能會(huì)增加庫(kù)存，因此下月的庫(kù)存指數(shù)有望進(jìn)入景氣區(qū)間。

上一篇： 【AMI指數(shù)】2019年2月CAMDA中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)（AMI）

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